Finance Gourmet Blog

In depth knowlege about personal finance, investing, planning, and saving.

Bear Market - Never Mind

There is a great scene in the movie The Paper with Michael Keaton in which the characters are sitting in a conference room discussing the next day’s front page.  There has been a big sensational story, and they ponder over how to best deliver a headline.  When they finish, one of the characters says, “With a slammer (exclamation point).”  At which point, one of the characters rolls her eyes and says something about heaven forbid if they ever ran a headline with an exclamation point.

I’ve never worked in a newsroom and I have no idea how accurate the movie is, but I do know that newspapers and magazines work very hard to grab our attention with their headlines, and if they can use a powerful buzz word, then so much the better.

Yeah! It’s a Bear Market…Not.

bearbull On Monday, the stock market closed just over 19.5% down from the last high point.  This is significant, because the definition of a Bear Market is when the stock market is down 20% from its previous high.  Yesterday, the markets started the day lower dipping enough to slide below the magic 20% number.  The results were almost instant.  On every major business web site and even on numerous regular news sites, the headlines flew up in large bold characters.  Bear Market were the key words in whatever clever phrasing they came up with.  The press was happy.  Bear Market makes for a great buzzword especially as confidence in the overall economy is slipping.

There was just one problem.  Shortly after dipping into bear market territory, stocks started moving back up.  By noon, they were in positive territory quashing the bear market generated ever so briefly earlier.  I could almost hear the grumbling in the newsrooms.

In fact, GM reported lower than expected losses and the markets finished the day up.  No big bold Bear Market headlines for today’s newspapers.  They would have to go with something less powerful (although, I’m sure, just as gloomy).

Media Outlets and the Markets

It is useful to keep this story in mind.  Various publications whether they be newspapers, web sites, magazines, or T.V. shows figure they have just seconds to grab your attention.  To do that they use flashy buzz filled headlines that they hope will inspire you to give them a chance.  There is nothing wrong with this, but it does mean that thoughtful, well-researched money stories must be sought out by intelligent investors and financial advisors.

Top Ten Best Whatever is hardly a good way to get solid analysis.  Look beyond the flashy headlines and read the details.  Educate yourself by reading the Finance Gourmet and other resources that provide in-depth looks.  Then, make sure you use your brain and think for yourself.  After all, does it really matter if the markets are down 19.5 percent or 20.1 percent?  Does that affect your portfolio or finances in any way?  The answer is it shouldn’t.  Your long term financial plan should not react to these short term events, and your short term financial plan should not involve the stock market.  So, either way, these headlines are nothing more than entertainment for the smart investor.

Iggyshouse Down!

Some of you have followed along as we try and sell our house without a real estate agent.  I have documented how we were using Iggyshouse.com to this.  But, the site has been down for the last several days.  I was finally able to find this article suggesting that this is not a temporary glitch.

Needless to say, we are re-evaluating.  Even if it does come back online, this is disconcerting to say the least.  If we were off MLS for even one weekend, that might have cost us a sale.  So, I cannot recommend using iggyshouse.com at this time.

Stay tuned.  I’ll post a follow up when I have more details.

Is myFICO Worth It?

Every so often I get an email from somewhere offering me a trial membership to myFICO or something like it.  And, every so often, I have to get a client to cancel the subscription.  myFICO and the others are NOT worth it.

$90 per year

The myFICO service that allows you to check your credit score daily costs approximately $90 per year.  Just do some quick math.  I see people transfer their money all over the place to pick up an extra 0.5% on their savings or money market account.  Instead of transferring your money and setting up direct deposit and whatever other gymnastics are required, you might want to consider how you could end up with the same net worth.  That $90 per year adds up to the same amount as the total extra interest you would earn in an entire year on $18,000 in savings by getting a interest rate that is 0.5% better.

Easy Way to Get A Free Credit Score

First, see if your financial institution will tell you your credit score for free.  Some forward thinking customer focused banks and credit unions are actively reporting their customer’s FICO score on statements or on your online banking.  Typically, these scores are updated quarterly.  Even if your bank doesn’t print your score out somewhere, that doesn’t mean that they won’t tell you if you ask.  Call the regular customer service number and ask if they have a recent credit score for you on file.  Chances are they do.  Many financial institutions update your credit score on a quarterly or semi-annual basis so that they can target you with the right kinds of services.  After all, a customer with a 780 credit score is someone you don’t have to worry about bouncing a lot of checks or or over-running a credit-line.  When you talk to them, get your score and the date it was from.  There you go, free credit score.

If your bank won’t tell you your credit score, frankly, I’d start looking for another bank.  Even saying the words, “Oh, well, that’s unfortunate because a friend of mine can always ask his bank.  Maybe I should switch,” might get you bumped up to a different level of service, and your file noted so that you can get your score next quarter.

How to Manage Your Credit Score

Knowing your credit score number is not as important as what you are doing to it.  Think about it this way, if a highly calibrated NASA scale says you weigh 197 lbs. does it really matter that your home scale says 194 lbs?  What matters is whether the number is going up or down.  While it is true that the exact number may determine your lending rate, you don’t know what those numbers will be.  Some lenders will give you the best rate with a 715, others may require a 730.  So, while it helps to know about what your credit score is, don’t obsess over the exact number.

So, how do you make sure your credit score keeps going up?  Pay every bill, every month, on time.  That’s it!

The only other time you even have to worry about it, is when you get different credit than you already have.  That is, if you get a new credit card or refinance your house, or trade in your car for another.  Then, it’s time to call the bank again and find out what your score it.  You’ll need to wait a month or two before the change takes affect, but it doesn’t hurt to call right away.  Then, you can ask if they know when it will be updated by their system again. 

There you go.  Absolutely FREE CREDIT SCORE management, no strings attached.

 

 

 

Personal Finance and Prescriptions

These days, medical expenses are a big burden to many family’s budgets. Unfortunately, it isn’t always easy to figure out just how and when you can save money without endangering your health. However, here are some tips that could save you plenty of money on your prescriptions.

Costco, Sam’s Club, and Other Warehouse Clubs

It is no secret that places like Costco and Sam’s Club have pharmacies, and yes, they have good prices on prescriptions as well. Not a member? No problem. Most states have laws requiring any business establishment to permit public access to the pharmacy. In other words, you can march right into Sam’s Club without a membership and have your prescription filled. Just tell the person at the door that you are having a prescription filled in the pharmacy and they’ll let you right in. These places tend to train their people pretty well on this rule so they don’t get into trouble.

The one catch is that both Costco and Sam’s Club have restrictive payment options so make sure you have the right kind of credit card or are prepared to pay by check. For more expensive prescriptions this may not be a very palatable option, so if you are going to go this route a lot, look into a no annual fee version of the right credit card.

Wal-Mart and $4 Prescriptions

Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you no doubt have heard about Wal-mart introducing $4 prescriptions for certain medications. Keep in mind that this is only for certain GENERIC prescriptions. You can’t get a generic version of a drug that is still under patent protection. However, if you are getting a prescription for an “extended release” or other “all day” type prescription and are responsible enough to take more than one dose per day, see if there is a non-extended version availible and discuss having your doctor re-write your prescription to it. A sneaky trick that a lot of pharmaceutical companies use is to sell a “regular” release formula for the full length of the patent. Then, just as the patent is about to expire they come out with a “new” extended release version and get a few more years of patent protection to sell that one. The regular version is just as good, only you’ll have to take it more than once a day. If it’s generic it might be on the $4 list. If not, it will still be a lot cheaper than the brand name extended formula is.

Other stores are following Wal-mart’s move. Target offers a list of $4 prescriptions as well. Here in Colorado, Safeway offers a list. One thing to keep an eye out for is stores that will match other prices. That means you could be getting your prescription for $4, but only if you ask!

Insurance

Obviously, the best scenario is to have good insurance. But, even if you do, chances are you pay a smaller co-pay for generic drugs. Also, there is a good chance that you can get a discount if you buy certain “maintenance” drugs via mail. With this system, you get a 90-day supply for a 60-day price or something along those lines. This can save you a lot if you have multiple prescriptions. Make sure it is worth it to you though. Someone with asthma getting a generic inhaler once a month probably isn’t going to save enough to make it worth the hassle.

Shop Around

The price difference between pharmacies can be huge! In general, the big box stores like Target and Wal-mart will have cheaper prices than stand alone pharmacies. Walgreens can be one of the most expensive, so you might want to check. Most places don’t list prices on the Internet, but they’ll be willing to tell you if you call, especially if you say you are thinking about transferring a prescription. Call up Target, or whoever, and say, “I’m thinking about switching my whatever prescription over to you. Can you tell me what it would cost? Have your bottle ready because they’ll probably ask you questions you don’t know the answer to. “Is that the diffused formula or the titrated formula?” It probably says on the bottle.

Credit Card Lab at Captial One

So, here is something interesting. Capital One has a “credit card lab” on their website. Basically, the way it works is, you get a screen with several options available to you. As you choose the options you want, some of the other options get grayed out because you can’t choose them any more. For example, this is the screen if you choose “Excellent Credit”

Capital One Card Lab

You can choose all kinds of things like how many points you earn per dollar charged, and even “Additional Rewards” like a 25% Annual Bonus, or 0% APR on Balance Transfers.

What makes this so interesting is you can see exactly how your choices impact the remainder of your card features.

Credit Cards and Free Lunch

It is often said that there is no such thing as a free lunch. With the Capital One Credit Card Lab, you can see exactly that. Choosing 2 points per $1 spent for example, eliminates your ability to get the lowest interest rate, all “additional rewards” and even requires you to select an annual fee of $39.

Capital One Credit Card Lab Screenshot

By playing around with the various options you can see two things. One, what kind of card could you build if you wanted to? And, two, how much certain features are worth.

How to Use Credit Card Builder

So, how do you take maximum advantage of this tool?

  1. Select $0 Annual Fee first — Nothing on that screen is worth paying an annual fee for unless you have a HUGE balance. Then, the 7.9% APR might be worth it, but make sure you do the math first.
  2. Set A Specific Use - Decide on what you want to use this card for. For example, if you used this card exclusively to purchase all your gas and groceries, you could select 1% cash back and 2x Rewards on all Gas & Groceries.
  3. Ignore Intro Rates - If you aren’t going to be transferring any balances to your new card, don’t bother wasting features on the transfer features. Instead choose the lowest interest rate.
  4. Lowest Interest Rate - It goes without saying that you want the lowest interest rate, but if you pay off your cards every month does it really matter what the interest rate is? Get all the features you want and take the higher rate. Just make sure to use a different card if you ever have to carry a balance.
  5. Comparison Shop - One of the hardest things to do is compare rewards credit cards. Now, you have a good tool to do so. When you see an offer that looks interesting, get all the details and then come to the Credit Card Lab. Try and match the features. If the offer you have comes up better than what you can get here, then it might be a good deal. If you can beat it with the Credit Card Lab, then keep shopping.

Monitor Your Credit Score

Before making any changes to your credit lineup, it is a good idea to get your credit score, and then monitor its reaction to your new card. Sign up for a 90-day (or more) free trial offer with a temporary credit card number that expires before the 90-day period is up (so it can’t automatically renew) and make sure to cancel before your free trial period is up.

Get your credit score before you apply. Then apply and check your score for as long as you can during the trial period to see the affect. If you need to monitor for longer, sign up for a different trial offer until you know how this new credit line will affect you.

For More Credit Card Information

Muni Taxes Stay the Same

The U.S. Supreme Court in a 7-2 decision upheld the central tenant of most state’s municipal bond tax policy, specifically that a state can exempt it’s own muni bonds from taxes while taxing the interest on other state’s muni bonds. So, nothing changes from before. If you live in California, the only way to avoid state tax on bond interest is to buy California Municipal Bonds. If you buy bonds from Texas, they can tax that interest.

Taxes and Bonds

Because interest on bonds is taxed as ordinary income, avoiding taxes on that interest is more important to investors than avoiding taxes on dividends paid by stocks. Most corporate bonds are taxed at both the federal and state level which reduces the real rate of return to the investor. Municipal bonds issued by states are exempt from federal income tax because one branch of the government cannot tax another branch. Whether or not the state municipal bonds are exempt from state income tax is determined by the laws of the states they are issued in. Most states make their own bonds tax-free as a way to make them more attractive for purchase. This tax-free status, plus the relative safety of most municipal bonds can make them an attractive investment for those in higher tax brackets.

However, these same benefits mean that muni bonds generally pay lower rates than other bonds. For federal taxes, if you are in a low tax bracket, the lower rate can actually mean a lessor overall return than if you invested in corporate bonds. The break even point is often somewhere around the 25% tax-bracket or above.

For state taxes, the analysis depends on the state you reside in. In Colorado, state income taxes are a flat 4.63% while in California, they go up with income like federal taxes. So, an investor in Colorado below the 25% income tax bracket may not reap any benefit from the tax-free nature of municipal bonds, while an investor in a higher bracket in California may come out way ahead by investing in California municipal bonds.

Higher Yield Muni Bonds

Some states do not have an income tax. (They usually have much higher sales taxes or property taxes than those that do.) For those states, municipal bonds can carry a higher interest rate. Texas, for example, does not have an income tax. Therefore, there is no advantage to Texans to buy Texas issued municipal bonds over those issued by other states. As a result, similarly rated Texas Municipal Bonds often end up paying a higher interest rate in order to attract investors. If you are looking to invest in municipal bonds but don’t need the state income tax deduction for your planning purposes (if you live in a low income tax state) then when investing always make sure to check out the non-tax state’s municipal bonds as well as your home state.

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Dodge & Cox Stock Fund

Great Stock Fund Re-Opened

InvestmentOne of my favorite mutual funds is the Dodge & Cox Stock Fund (DODGX).  It’s performance is virtually flawless for its purpose (large cap stock).  This isn’t some flashy hey-look-at-me mutual fund.  In fact, this is exactly the kind of fund that people started questioning during the Internet bubble, and that is a good thing.  Notice how it did not get caught up in the Internet bubble like many other stock funds.  Its returns of just 5.4% and 20.21% in 1998 and 1999 respectively earned it a lot of scorn when Janus Funds were near 100% returns, but the proof of greatest isn’t riding along with crowd hysteria.  The proof of greatness comes in 2000 and 2001.  When other funds were getting crushed, DODGX was making money!  In 2002, it managed to drop just 10.5%, almost half of what others were losing.

The real proof of greatness is that it did not achieve these results by hiding and investing in “safer” places.  In 2003, when the market turned back up, they were right there.  This is what a great fund looks like.

Limited Time Offer?

For the last several years, the Dodge & Cox Stock Fund has been closed to new investors, so I couldn’t recommend it to my clients.  If they had it available in their 401(k) plans, it was my only large-cap recommendation.  If the clients were savvy enough, we’d load up on one spouse’s plan and the achieve diversification with the other spouse’s plan (or even with IRAs assuming there was enough money in them.)  Now, the fund is back open for new investors.  My advice is to get in there, even if you just send in the minimum.  Last time they closed the fund, they still let existing shareholders add funds.  So, get your investment open now.  They’ll probably close the fund again sooner or later.

Evaluate Good Mutual Funds

To evaluate a mutual fund, ignore the 1, 3 and 5-year averages.  There are too many ways to hide flaws in averages.  For example, the 5-year average no longer includes the popping of the Internet Bubble.  So, that fund that claims the great 5-Start Morningstar rating  on the 1, 3 and 5-year could be hiding a brutal pounding in 2000, 2001, 2002 when it cratered and took investor money with it.

Instead, always look at the individual Annual Returns.  There is no way to hide then.  Look at the returns for DODGX.  This is exactly what you want to see in a value-oriented large cap stock fund.  It lags in 1998, 1999 when things were crazy, but it survives beautifully in 2000, 2001, 2002.  Just as important, it does not get caught by surprise in 2003 and posts solid returns.

 
ANNUAL TOTAL RETURN (%) HISTORY  
 
Year   DODGX Category Diff
2008     N/A N/A N/A
2007  
 
0.14 1.42 -1.28
2006  
 
18.53 18.15 0.38
2005  
 
9.37 5.95 3.42
2004  
 
19.17 12.97 6.20
2003  
 
32.34 28.44 3.90
2002
 
  -10.54 -18.69 8.15
2001  
 
9.33 -4.99 14.32
2000  
 
16.31 7.87 8.44
1999  
 
20.21 6.72 13.49
1998  
 
5.40 12.00 -6.60

There are few no-brainers in the investing world.  The Dodge & Cox Stock Fund is one of them.  Whatever you have, I’ll bet it isn’t as good.  This is your large cap growth fund.